Treasury yield curve
Today’s curve from 1 month to 30 years, how it has shifted, and what an inverted curve has meant in the past.
You’ll learn what the shape of the curve is telling you.
Fixed Income
Treasury yields, the yield curve, credit spreads and real bond math, explained in plain English. We’re building fixed income tools that used to live only on professional trading desks.
What we’re building
Every calculation is done by tested, transparent code. AI explains what the numbers mean and what could change them.
Today’s curve from 1 month to 30 years, how it has shifted, and what an inverted curve has meant in the past.
You’ll learn what the shape of the curve is telling you.
Turn a price into a yield and back, with accrued interest and cash flows laid out date by date.
You’ll learn why price and yield always move in opposite directions.
How much a bond or bond portfolio gains or loses when rates move, and how that changes as rates keep moving.
You’ll learn how much rate risk you are really taking.
The extra yield corporate bonds pay over Treasuries, for investment grade and high yield, and what widening spreads can signal.
You’ll learn how the market prices default risk.
Federal Reserve meetings, rate decisions and what the market expects next, tied to how yields reacted.
You’ll learn how decisions in Washington reach your bonds.
Build the zero-coupon curve step by step. One of the models on our Financial Modeling page.
You’ll learn how professionals price any cash flow.
Why bonds move
When new bonds pay more, older bonds paying less lose value.
Higher inflation eats into fixed payments, so investors demand more yield.
Rate decisions and guidance move short-term yields most directly.
When a borrower looks riskier, investors want more yield to hold its bonds.
These are typical relationships shown for learning. Real bond markets react to many forces at once.